Key Emerging Technologies in 2005 Hype Cycle

Source: Gartner Highlights Key Emerging Technologies in 2005 Hype Cycle

The Emerging Technologies Hype Cycle covers the entire IT spectrum, but Gartner has identified three key technology themes businesses should watch as well as highlighting some of the individual technologies in those areas. Technologies that will enable the development of Collaboration, Next Generation Architecture and Real World Web are highlighted as being particularly significant.

Collaboration
A number of key collaboration technologies designed to improve productivity and ultimately transform business practices are identified in the Hype Cycle:

• Podcasting
• Peer to Peer (P2P) voice over IP (VoIP)
• Desktop Search
• Really Simple Syndication (RSS
• Corporate Blogging
• Wikis

Next Generation Architecture
David Cearly, research vice president at Gartner believes that Next Generation Architecture will constitute the third big era in the IT industry's history (the first having been the hardware era and second belonging to software). These emerging technologies will form key pillars of the new architecture:

• Service Oriented Architecture (SOA)
• Web Services-Enabled Business Models
• Extensible Business Reporting Language (XBRL)
• Business Process Platforms (BPP)

Real World Web
Ms Fenn believes that adding networking, sensing and processing to real-world objects and places is creating a 'Real-World-Web' of information that will enhance business and personal decision-making. Ms Fenn highlighted three technologies from the 2005 Hype Cycle that will help to make this a reality:

• Location-aware applications
• Radio Frequency Identification (Passive)
• Mesh Networks — Sensor

About Gartner Hype Cycles
Gartner's Hype Cycles assess the maturity, impact and adoption speed of hundreds of technologies across a broad range of technology, application and industry areas. It highlights the progression of an emerging technology from market over enthusiasm through a period of disillusionment to an eventual understanding of the technology's relevance and role in a market or domain. The Hype Cycle is an educational tool that helps explain why technologies should be adopted based on your individual needs and goals, rather than on the generic levels of hype and disillusionment in the marketplace. Gartner's Hype Cycle Model follows five stages:

• Technology Trigger: A breakthrough, public demonstration, product launch or other event generates significant press and industry interest.
  
• Peak of Inflated Expectations: During this phase of over enthusiasm and unrealistic projections, a flurry of well-publicized activity by technology leaders results in some successes, but more failures, as the technology is pushed to its limits. The only companies making money are conference organizers and magazine publishers.
  
• Trough of Disillusionment: Because the technology does not live up to its over inflated expectations, it rapidly becomes unfashionable. Media interest wanes, except for a few cautionary tales.
  
• Slope of Enlightenment: Focused experimentation and solid hard work by an increasingly diverse range of organizations lead to a true understanding of the technology's applicability, risks and benefits. Commercial, off-the-shelf methodologies and tools ease the development process.
  
• Plateau of Productivity: The real-world benefits of the technology are demonstrated and accepted. Growing numbers of organizations feel comfortable with the reduced levels of risk, and the rapid growth phase of adoption begins.

via Emergic.org

Comments

[S.KAHN]

where do you think outsourcing is on wat stage of the hype cycle

cheers